Title:
The Determinants of Long-term Unemployment: A Study Micro-econometrics on Tunisian Data

Authors:
Héla BOURAS et Oula BEN HASSINE, Tunisia

Abstract:

Based on data from the National Survey on the Budget, Consumption and Standard of Living of households in 2021, this article examines and detects the microeconomic determinants of long-term unemployment duration. The objective of this article is to analyze and detect the microeconomic factors determining the long-term unemployment for the Tunisian population. Another objective that has been raised is to detect which type of unemployed person is the highest risk of finding job for a long time. By exploring a Logit model, the main results of the modeling are that the risk of long-term unemployment increases with the level of education. Wealthier individuals have higher probabilities of long-term unemployment. The risk of long-term unemployment decreases in all regions of the country compared to the Greater Tunis region. Individuals in their thirties find it more difficult to get out of the unemployment situation than the other brackets. It appears that the integration of new applicants into the labour market is a fundamental problem of unemployment in the country. the risk of long-term unemployment increases when the individual is a first job seeker. In this work, the microeconomic determinants of long-term unemployment and long-term unemployment for first-time jobseekers were identified, an issue that has been neglected by several empirical studies. Indeed, several studies such as those by Altindag et al (2022), Himali (2014), Jadouri E, Aziz R (2024) and Bouity C (2024) have looked at the determinants of youth unemployment, but they have not implemented either long-term unemployment or long-term unemployment for first-time jobseekers.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.51505/IJEBMR.2025.9318