Abstract:
This study utilizes Smartphone sales volumes to predict the relationships of Smartphone sales volumes in Asia and North America. The empirical results show that the Smartphone sale in Asia substantially enhances the sales growth in North America, whereas the Smartphone sales in North America curtail the sales growth in Asia. The Smartphone are first sold to North America because of the strong consumer purchasing power and consumer acceptance in North America. As the Smartphone vendors sell more Smartphone in North America, the sale in Asia will decrease due to the limited production capacity. Until the production capacity of Smartphone is extended, the sales volumes of Smartphone in Asia increases. When Smartphone get popular in Asia, the widespread of Smartphone entertainments and commercial activities in Asia stimulate the Smartphone sales in North America. The real sales volumes are close to the predicted sales volumes calculated by our proposed model, indicating that our proposed model can accurately predict the trend of Smartphone sales. This study further predicts that the long-term Smartphone sales volumes will not converge to a stable levels in Asia and North America, suggesting that their sales volumes will increase infinitely if no innovative communication products can completely replace Smartphone.
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